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MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Glenn Ivey 97.0%

Joseph Gomes 17%

Jakeya Johnson 16%

Shavonne Hedgepeth 15%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Glenn Ivey 97.0%

Joseph Gomes 17%

Jakeya Johnson 16%

Shavonne Hedgepeth 15%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Glenn Ivey

$356 Обс.

97%

Joseph Gomes

$45 Обс.

17%

Jakeya Johnson

$90 Обс.

16%

Shavonne Hedgepeth

$50 Обс.

15%

Jonathan White

$50 Обс.

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey, the incumbent U.S. representative for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. His advantages include strong name recognition from prior victories, including an 84.9% primary share in 2024, established fundraising networks, and endorsements from state leaders such as Governor Wes Moore. The district’s deep Democratic lean makes the primary outcome decisive for the general election. Challengers including Joseph Gomes, Jonathan White, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jakeya Johnson remain on the ballot after the February filing deadline, but none have mounted significant threats in recent polling trends or campaign activity. The tight timeline to election day limits opportunities for late shifts in momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$247
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey, the incumbent U.S. representative for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. His advantages include strong name recognition from prior victories, including an 84.9% primary share in 2024, established fundraising networks, and endorsements from state leaders such as Governor Wes Moore. The district’s deep Democratic lean makes the primary outcome decisive for the general election. Challengers including Joseph Gomes, Jonathan White, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jakeya Johnson remain on the ballot after the February filing deadline, but none have mounted significant threats in recent polling trends or campaign activity. The tight timeline to election day limits opportunities for late shifts in momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$247
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Glenn Ivey» з 97%, далі «Joseph Gomes» з 17%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 10, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner », перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » — «Glenn Ivey» з 97%. Наступний — «Joseph Gomes» з 17%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.