The upcoming August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which pulls directly from the 2026 set featuring the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare, stands as the dominant catalyst behind the 74.5% market-implied probability of a price decline by August 31. This restock arrives amid broader Pokémon TCG supply increases tied to the franchise’s 30th anniversary celebrations and multiple August drops, including First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3. Historical patterns show chase cards from recent expansions often soften on fresh product inflows, as collectors and traders anticipate greater availability offsetting prior scarcity-driven gains. While critical reception for Gengar artwork remains strong and sealed product demand stays elevated, the short window to month-end leaves limited room for counter-momentum from new sales data or secondary market spikes. Traders appear to weigh these near-term supply dynamics most heavily in the current consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
Up
26% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Up
26% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The upcoming August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which pulls directly from the 2026 set featuring the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare, stands as the dominant catalyst behind the 74.5% market-implied probability of a price decline by August 31. This restock arrives amid broader Pokémon TCG supply increases tied to the franchise’s 30th anniversary celebrations and multiple August drops, including First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3. Historical patterns show chase cards from recent expansions often soften on fresh product inflows, as collectors and traders anticipate greater availability offsetting prior scarcity-driven gains. While critical reception for Gengar artwork remains strong and sealed product demand stays elevated, the short window to month-end leaves limited room for counter-momentum from new sales data or secondary market spikes. Traders appear to weigh these near-term supply dynamics most heavily in the current consensus.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,322Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The upcoming August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which pulls directly from the 2026 set featuring the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare, stands as the dominant catalyst behind the 74.5% market-implied probability of a price decline by August 31. This restock arrives amid broader Pokémon TCG supply increases tied to the franchise’s 30th anniversary celebrations and multiple August drops, including First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3. Historical patterns show chase cards from recent expansions often soften on fresh product inflows, as collectors and traders anticipate greater availability offsetting prior scarcity-driven gains. While critical reception for Gengar artwork remains strong and sealed product demand stays elevated, the short window to month-end leaves limited room for counter-momentum from new sales data or secondary market spikes. Traders appear to weigh these near-term supply dynamics most heavily in the current consensus.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Обсяг
$2,322Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The upcoming August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which pulls directly from the 2026 set featuring the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare, stands as the dominant catalyst behind the 74.5% market-implied probability of a price decline by August 31. This restock arrives amid broader Pokémon TCG supply increases tied to the franchise’s 30th anniversary celebrations and multiple August drops, including First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3. Historical patterns show chase cards from recent expansions often soften on fresh product inflows, as collectors and traders anticipate greater availability offsetting prior scarcity-driven gains. While critical reception for Gengar artwork remains strong and sealed product demand stays elevated, the short window to month-end leaves limited room for counter-momentum from new sales data or secondary market spikes. Traders appear to weigh these near-term supply dynamics most heavily in the current consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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