Skip to main content
icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?
Спорт·бейсбол

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?
Спорт·бейсбол

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

0% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
0% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 68% implied probability for any MLB player achieving a 4-homer game in 2026, driven by the feat's extreme historical rarity—only 21 instances across 150 years, with the last in 2025—coupled with no such explosion through nearly 30 games per team. Despite a power surge led by Aaron Judge and Munetaka Murakami (12 home runs apiece), Yordan Alvarez (double-digit totals), and frequent multi-homer outings like Matt Olson's recent barrage and nine two-homer games on April 14, no batter has reached three homers in a contest amid deeper bullpens, elite pitching rotations, and matchup variances. With the season young, strong closers and park factors continue suppressing historic outbursts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3
Дата завершення
Sep 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 68% implied probability for any MLB player achieving a 4-homer game in 2026, driven by the feat's extreme historical rarity—only 21 instances across 150 years, with the last in 2025—coupled with no such explosion through nearly 30 games per team. Despite a power surge led by Aaron Judge and Munetaka Murakami (12 home runs apiece), Yordan Alvarez (double-digit totals), and frequent multi-homer outings like Matt Olson's recent barrage and nine two-homer games on April 14, no batter has reached three homers in a contest amid deeper bullpens, elite pitching rotations, and matchup variances. With the season young, strong closers and park factors continue suppressing historic outbursts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3
Дата завершення
Sep 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 55% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 55¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 55%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 28, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?» — 55% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 55% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.