With roughly 10 days remaining in the 2026 MLB regular season, the absence of any perfect game since Domingo Germán’s in 2023 continues to anchor trader expectations. Modern pitching practices—strict pitch counts, early bullpen hooks, and specialized relievers—have made nine-inning complete games increasingly uncommon, further reducing the odds of retiring 27 consecutive batters without a baserunner. No recent standout performances or matchup trends in September have altered this outlook, leaving the market’s 94.5% implied probability on “No” aligned with the feat’s historical scarcity across more than 150 years of play.