Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA coalition government, which holds a stable Lok Sabha majority of around 318 seats following the 2024 elections, with the next general election not due until 2029. Recent mid-2026 youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the education minister's resignation but produced no broader cabinet upheaval, coalition fractures, or no-confidence motions capable of forcing an early exit. BJP-led state victories and by-election gains through spring and summer 2026 have further consolidated institutional control, while Modi's Independence Day address outlined long-term policy priorities without signaling leadership transition pressures. Traders price the "No" outcome at 92.3% because no constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms point to removal by year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
8% шанс
$245,765 Обс.
$245,765 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
8% шанс
$245,765 Обс.
$245,765 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA coalition government, which holds a stable Lok Sabha majority of around 318 seats following the 2024 elections, with the next general election not due until 2029. Recent mid-2026 youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the education minister's resignation but produced no broader cabinet upheaval, coalition fractures, or no-confidence motions capable of forcing an early exit. BJP-led state victories and by-election gains through spring and summer 2026 have further consolidated institutional control, while Modi's Independence Day address outlined long-term policy priorities without signaling leadership transition pressures. Traders price the "No" outcome at 92.3% because no constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms point to removal by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$245,765Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA coalition government, which holds a stable Lok Sabha majority of around 318 seats following the 2024 elections, with the next general election not due until 2029. Recent mid-2026 youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the education minister's resignation but produced no broader cabinet upheaval, coalition fractures, or no-confidence motions capable of forcing an early exit. BJP-led state victories and by-election gains through spring and summer 2026 have further consolidated institutional control, while Modi's Independence Day address outlined long-term policy priorities without signaling leadership transition pressures. Traders price the "No" outcome at 92.3% because no constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms point to removal by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$245,765Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA coalition government, which holds a stable Lok Sabha majority of around 318 seats following the 2024 elections, with the next general election not due until 2029. Recent mid-2026 youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the education minister's resignation but produced no broader cabinet upheaval, coalition fractures, or no-confidence motions capable of forcing an early exit. BJP-led state victories and by-election gains through spring and summer 2026 have further consolidated institutional control, while Modi's Independence Day address outlined long-term policy priorities without signaling leadership transition pressures. Traders price the "No" outcome at 92.3% because no constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms point to removal by year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання