Prime Minister Narendra Modi's active leadership, including hosting the BRICS Foreign Ministers' Meeting in New Delhi on May 14–15 under India's 2026 chairmanship and an upcoming UAE visit, underscores the stability of his NDA coalition government, driving trader consensus to a 90.1% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent public appeals for economic restraint amid global tensions from the Iran conflict further highlight his grip on policy, with no verified health concerns, coalition fractures, or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. The 18th Lok Sabha's term extends to 2029 barring snap elections, though 2026 state polls could introduce volatility; late scandals or health events remain low-probability risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$32,096 Обс.
$32,096 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$32,096 Обс.
$32,096 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's active leadership, including hosting the BRICS Foreign Ministers' Meeting in New Delhi on May 14–15 under India's 2026 chairmanship and an upcoming UAE visit, underscores the stability of his NDA coalition government, driving trader consensus to a 90.1% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent public appeals for economic restraint amid global tensions from the Iran conflict further highlight his grip on policy, with no verified health concerns, coalition fractures, or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. The 18th Lok Sabha's term extends to 2029 barring snap elections, though 2026 state polls could introduce volatility; late scandals or health events remain low-probability risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,096Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's active leadership, including hosting the BRICS Foreign Ministers' Meeting in New Delhi on May 14–15 under India's 2026 chairmanship and an upcoming UAE visit, underscores the stability of his NDA coalition government, driving trader consensus to a 90.1% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent public appeals for economic restraint amid global tensions from the Iran conflict further highlight his grip on policy, with no verified health concerns, coalition fractures, or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. The 18th Lok Sabha's term extends to 2029 barring snap elections, though 2026 state polls could introduce volatility; late scandals or health events remain low-probability risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$32,096Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's active leadership, including hosting the BRICS Foreign Ministers' Meeting in New Delhi on May 14–15 under India's 2026 chairmanship and an upcoming UAE visit, underscores the stability of his NDA coalition government, driving trader consensus to a 90.1% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent public appeals for economic restraint amid global tensions from the Iran conflict further highlight his grip on policy, with no verified health concerns, coalition fractures, or no-confidence threats emerging in the past 30 days. The 18th Lok Sabha's term extends to 2029 barring snap elections, though 2026 state polls could introduce volatility; late scandals or health events remain low-probability risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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