Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican 92%
Independent 5.8%
Democrat <1%
$108,030 Обс.
$108,030 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Independent
6%
Democrat
<1%
Republican 92%
Independent 5.8%
Democrat <1%
$108,030 Обс.
$108,030 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$54,815 Обс.
92%
Independent
$13,584 Обс.
6%
Democrat
$39,631 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$108,030Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$108,030Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання