U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty, with pretrial hearings ongoing as of July 2026 and a trial date set for June 2027; defense arguments focus on challenging the operation’s legality under U.S. and international law. Key drivers of trader views include the pace of court proceedings, potential bail or plea outcomes, diplomatic negotiations involving the post-capture Venezuelan interim government, and any shifts in U.S. policy toward sanctions relief or prisoner exchanges. Scheduled court dates and Venezuelan political stabilization efforts remain central variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2,687,688 Обс.
Jan 31, 2026
31 грудня
7%
$2,687,688 Обс.
31 грудня
$292,239 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty, with pretrial hearings ongoing as of July 2026 and a trial date set for June 2027; defense arguments focus on challenging the operation’s legality under U.S. and international law. Key drivers of trader views include the pace of court proceedings, potential bail or plea outcomes, diplomatic negotiations involving the post-capture Venezuelan interim government, and any shifts in U.S. policy toward sanctions relief or prisoner exchanges. Scheduled court dates and Venezuelan political stabilization efforts remain central variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,687,688Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty, with pretrial hearings ongoing as of July 2026 and a trial date set for June 2027; defense arguments focus on challenging the operation’s legality under U.S. and international law. Key drivers of trader views include the pace of court proceedings, potential bail or plea outcomes, diplomatic negotiations involving the post-capture Venezuelan interim government, and any shifts in U.S. policy toward sanctions relief or prisoner exchanges. Scheduled court dates and Venezuelan political stabilization efforts remain central variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,687,688Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 2026 military raid in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty, with pretrial hearings ongoing as of July 2026 and a trial date set for June 2027; defense arguments focus on challenging the operation’s legality under U.S. and international law. Key drivers of trader views include the pace of court proceedings, potential bail or plea outcomes, diplomatic negotiations involving the post-capture Venezuelan interim government, and any shifts in U.S. policy toward sanctions relief or prisoner exchanges. Scheduled court dates and Venezuelan political stabilization efforts remain central variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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