US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2,631,415 Обс.
Jan 31, 2026
31 грудня
13%
$2,631,415 Обс.
31 грудня
$235,966 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,631,415Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,631,415Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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