North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile launches in the first 17 days of May 2026, a lull that follows multiple short-range ballistic missile firings in April, including cluster-munition tests on April 19 and 24. This pattern aligns with Pyongyang’s historical testing cycles, which often feature concentrated salvos followed by pauses absent immediate triggers such as intensified U.S.-South Korea drills, new sanctions, or diplomatic escalations. Regional monitoring by South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command has detected no activity, reinforcing trader expectations of limited or zero additional test days through month-end. The market’s emphasis on fewer than two outcomes reflects these verified developments and the absence of fresh catalysts that have previously prompted rapid escalation in Pyongyang’s missile program.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
<2 69%
2-3 26%
4+ 4.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
<2
69%
2-3
26%
4+
5%
<2 69%
2-3 26%
4+ 4.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
<2
$1,346 Обс.
69%
2-3
$3,160 Обс.
26%
4+
$516 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile launches in the first 17 days of May 2026, a lull that follows multiple short-range ballistic missile firings in April, including cluster-munition tests on April 19 and 24. This pattern aligns with Pyongyang’s historical testing cycles, which often feature concentrated salvos followed by pauses absent immediate triggers such as intensified U.S.-South Korea drills, new sanctions, or diplomatic escalations. Regional monitoring by South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command has detected no activity, reinforcing trader expectations of limited or zero additional test days through month-end. The market’s emphasis on fewer than two outcomes reflects these verified developments and the absence of fresh catalysts that have previously prompted rapid escalation in Pyongyang’s missile program.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,022Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile launches in the first 17 days of May 2026, a lull that follows multiple short-range ballistic missile firings in April, including cluster-munition tests on April 19 and 24. This pattern aligns with Pyongyang’s historical testing cycles, which often feature concentrated salvos followed by pauses absent immediate triggers such as intensified U.S.-South Korea drills, new sanctions, or diplomatic escalations. Regional monitoring by South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command has detected no activity, reinforcing trader expectations of limited or zero additional test days through month-end. The market’s emphasis on fewer than two outcomes reflects these verified developments and the absence of fresh catalysts that have previously prompted rapid escalation in Pyongyang’s missile program.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Обсяг
$5,022Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile launches in the first 17 days of May 2026, a lull that follows multiple short-range ballistic missile firings in April, including cluster-munition tests on April 19 and 24. This pattern aligns with Pyongyang’s historical testing cycles, which often feature concentrated salvos followed by pauses absent immediate triggers such as intensified U.S.-South Korea drills, new sanctions, or diplomatic escalations. Regional monitoring by South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command has detected no activity, reinforcing trader expectations of limited or zero additional test days through month-end. The market’s emphasis on fewer than two outcomes reflects these verified developments and the absence of fresh catalysts that have previously prompted rapid escalation in Pyongyang’s missile program.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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