OPEC maintains operational continuity into mid-2026 through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman. These countries have reaffirmed commitments to market stability via phased unwinding of voluntary cuts, with the latest decisions implemented in August 2026 and follow-up sessions scheduled through September. The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal for greater output flexibility represents an individual exit rather than organizational collapse, leaving the cartel intact to issue reports such as its World Oil Outlook. Traders price dissolution as highly improbable absent coordinated member consensus or structural dissolution votes, which show no signs of materializing amid ongoing institutional activity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
5% шанс
$32,409 Обс.
$32,409 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
5% шанс
$32,409 Обс.
$32,409 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC maintains operational continuity into mid-2026 through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman. These countries have reaffirmed commitments to market stability via phased unwinding of voluntary cuts, with the latest decisions implemented in August 2026 and follow-up sessions scheduled through September. The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal for greater output flexibility represents an individual exit rather than organizational collapse, leaving the cartel intact to issue reports such as its World Oil Outlook. Traders price dissolution as highly improbable absent coordinated member consensus or structural dissolution votes, which show no signs of materializing amid ongoing institutional activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,409Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC maintains operational continuity into mid-2026 through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman. These countries have reaffirmed commitments to market stability via phased unwinding of voluntary cuts, with the latest decisions implemented in August 2026 and follow-up sessions scheduled through September. The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal for greater output flexibility represents an individual exit rather than organizational collapse, leaving the cartel intact to issue reports such as its World Oil Outlook. Traders price dissolution as highly improbable absent coordinated member consensus or structural dissolution votes, which show no signs of materializing amid ongoing institutional activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$32,409Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC maintains operational continuity into mid-2026 through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman. These countries have reaffirmed commitments to market stability via phased unwinding of voluntary cuts, with the latest decisions implemented in August 2026 and follow-up sessions scheduled through September. The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal for greater output flexibility represents an individual exit rather than organizational collapse, leaving the cartel intact to issue reports such as its World Oil Outlook. Traders price dissolution as highly improbable absent coordinated member consensus or structural dissolution votes, which show no signs of materializing amid ongoing institutional activity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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