The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for twelve straight months through May 2026, aligning with its stated moderately loose monetary policy stance. Recent monthly fixings have prioritized stability in benchmark lending rates while relying on reserve requirement ratio adjustments, structural tools, and open market operations to manage liquidity and support credit growth amid softening industrial output and retail sales. The next LPR announcement, expected around June 20-22, follows this established pattern, underpinning the dominant market consensus for no change by June 30. A sharper deterioration in key economic indicators or an explicit policy pivot from authorities could still prompt an adjustment before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNo Change 97.1%
Decrease 1.7%
Increase <1%
Increase
<1%
No Change
97%
Decrease
2%
No Change 97.1%
Decrease 1.7%
Increase <1%
Increase
<1%
No Change
97%
Decrease
2%
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for twelve straight months through May 2026, aligning with its stated moderately loose monetary policy stance. Recent monthly fixings have prioritized stability in benchmark lending rates while relying on reserve requirement ratio adjustments, structural tools, and open market operations to manage liquidity and support credit growth amid softening industrial output and retail sales. The next LPR announcement, expected around June 20-22, follows this established pattern, underpinning the dominant market consensus for no change by June 30. A sharper deterioration in key economic indicators or an explicit policy pivot from authorities could still prompt an adjustment before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання