Jon Rahm holds the top implied probability in this 2026 PGA Championship market at Aronimink Golf Club thanks to his proven major pedigree, two LIV wins this season, and strong ball-striking that positions him just off the lead entering Sunday. Alex Smalley’s solo three-round lead creates an underdog narrative, yet traders discount his lack of PGA Tour victories and major experience against Rahm’s history of closing in big events. Rory McIlroy and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind with recent strong tee-to-green numbers, while longshots like Matti Schmid and Aaron Rai reflect the wide-open field where any contender can capitalize on Sunday’s conditions. This trader consensus underscores Rahm’s edge in handling pressure over less-tested rivals in a tightly bunched leaderboard.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJon Rahm 26.5%
Aaron Rai 25.6%
Matti Schmid 15.3%
Rory McIlroy 9.7%
$7,698,221 Обс.
$7,698,221 Обс.
Jon Rahm
27%
Aaron Rai
26%
Matti Schmid
15%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Cameron Smith
7%
Alex Smalley
5%
Justin Thomas
4%
Nick Taylor
4%
Ludvig Aberg
3%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 26.5%
Aaron Rai 25.6%
Matti Schmid 15.3%
Rory McIlroy 9.7%
$7,698,221 Обс.
$7,698,221 Обс.
Jon Rahm
27%
Aaron Rai
26%
Matti Schmid
15%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Cameron Smith
7%
Alex Smalley
5%
Justin Thomas
4%
Nick Taylor
4%
Ludvig Aberg
3%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jon Rahm holds the top implied probability in this 2026 PGA Championship market at Aronimink Golf Club thanks to his proven major pedigree, two LIV wins this season, and strong ball-striking that positions him just off the lead entering Sunday. Alex Smalley’s solo three-round lead creates an underdog narrative, yet traders discount his lack of PGA Tour victories and major experience against Rahm’s history of closing in big events. Rory McIlroy and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind with recent strong tee-to-green numbers, while longshots like Matti Schmid and Aaron Rai reflect the wide-open field where any contender can capitalize on Sunday’s conditions. This trader consensus underscores Rahm’s edge in handling pressure over less-tested rivals in a tightly bunched leaderboard.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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