Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to lift the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid persistent inflation pressures, market-implied odds heavily favor no further change at the June 16 meeting. Recent CPI readings showed headline inflation climbing to around 4 percent year-over-year, driven by higher energy costs, yet the RBA's updated forecasts point to a gradual decline toward the 2-3 percent target by 2028. With the labor market remaining resilient but showing early signs of softening, traders price in limited scope for additional tightening in the near term while assigning only modest probability to another hike. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will shape the final assessment ahead of the June policy statement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNo Change 82%
Increase 28%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 Обс.
$25,462 Обс.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
82%
Increase
28%
No Change 82%
Increase 28%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 Обс.
$25,462 Обс.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
82%
Increase
28%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to lift the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid persistent inflation pressures, market-implied odds heavily favor no further change at the June 16 meeting. Recent CPI readings showed headline inflation climbing to around 4 percent year-over-year, driven by higher energy costs, yet the RBA's updated forecasts point to a gradual decline toward the 2-3 percent target by 2028. With the labor market remaining resilient but showing early signs of softening, traders price in limited scope for additional tightening in the near term while assigning only modest probability to another hike. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will shape the final assessment ahead of the June policy statement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання