South Carolina's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests shapes the current trader consensus around a GOP victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial election. With incumbent Henry McMaster term-limited, the June 9 Republican primary features multiple declared candidates including Attorney General Alan Wilson and Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, while the Democratic primary includes state Representative Jermaine Johnson and two other contenders. Recent candidate filing deadlines and early polling in the Republican primary have reinforced party continuity, consistent with historical patterns where Democrats have not won the governorship since 1998. A late primary upset or unusually high Democratic turnout in the general election could narrow the gap, though structural factors such as the state's voter registration edge and past margins limit realistic paths for a Democratic win.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSouth Carolina Governor Election Winner
$10,768 Обс.
$10,768 Обс.

Republican
92%

Democrat
7%
$10,768 Обс.
$10,768 Обс.

Republican
92%

Democrat
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests shapes the current trader consensus around a GOP victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial election. With incumbent Henry McMaster term-limited, the June 9 Republican primary features multiple declared candidates including Attorney General Alan Wilson and Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, while the Democratic primary includes state Representative Jermaine Johnson and two other contenders. Recent candidate filing deadlines and early polling in the Republican primary have reinforced party continuity, consistent with historical patterns where Democrats have not won the governorship since 1998. A late primary upset or unusually high Democratic turnout in the general election could narrow the gap, though structural factors such as the state's voter registration edge and past margins limit realistic paths for a Democratic win.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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