SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $113–$118 amid elevated post-IPO volatility following the June 12 debut at $135, with an intraday peak near $226 before a sharp pullback that compressed the multiple on 2026 revenue estimates of $34–$43 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the evenly matched 48.5–50% probabilities across $90–$135+ buckets highlights uncertainty over near-term momentum, driven by divergent analyst targets ranging from $62 to $800 and ongoing questions about Starlink execution, Starship progress, and broader risk appetite. Key swing factors for the July 27 close include any fresh macroeconomic signals on interest rates or sector rotation, alongside potential company-specific updates that could shift implied odds ahead of the week's resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$90-$95 47%
$100-$105 47%
$110-$115 47%
$120-$125 47%
<$90
45%
$90-$95
47%
$95-$100
46%
$100-$105
47%
$105-$110
46%
$110-$115
47%
$115-$120
45%
$120-$125
47%
$125-$130
46%
$130-$135
46%
>$135
47%
$90-$95 47%
$100-$105 47%
$110-$115 47%
$120-$125 47%
<$90
45%
$90-$95
47%
$95-$100
46%
$100-$105
47%
$105-$110
46%
$110-$115
47%
$115-$120
45%
$120-$125
47%
$125-$130
46%
$130-$135
46%
>$135
47%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Джерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $113–$118 amid elevated post-IPO volatility following the June 12 debut at $135, with an intraday peak near $226 before a sharp pullback that compressed the multiple on 2026 revenue estimates of $34–$43 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the evenly matched 48.5–50% probabilities across $90–$135+ buckets highlights uncertainty over near-term momentum, driven by divergent analyst targets ranging from $62 to $800 and ongoing questions about Starlink execution, Starship progress, and broader risk appetite. Key swing factors for the July 27 close include any fresh macroeconomic signals on interest rates or sector rotation, alongside potential company-specific updates that could shift implied odds ahead of the week's resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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