The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest among multiple sitting councillors and former officeholders ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. With nominations scheduled to open on September 7 and close September 21, traders see Leanne Raw, Kevin Hyland, and Duniam as the closest contenders in the current pricing, while Chloe Foster and a long tail of others remain lower. Preferential voting and Robson rotation on ballot papers further complicate early assessments in this compulsory-vote council race, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered until candidate statements and final nominations clarify voter preferences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWaratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Dillon Roberts 44%
Michael Johnstone 44%
Mary Duniam 28.1%
Kevin Hyland 26.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 27, 2026
Dillon Roberts
44%
Michael Johnstone
44%
Mary Duniam
28%
Kevin Hyland
27%
Leanne Raw
21%
Chloe Foster
5%
Dillon Roberts 44%
Michael Johnstone 44%
Mary Duniam 28.1%
Kevin Hyland 26.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 27, 2026
Dillon Roberts
$0 Обс.
44%
Michael Johnstone
$0 Обс.
44%
Mary Duniam
$10 Обс.
28%
Kevin Hyland
$10 Обс.
27%
Leanne Raw
$2,968 Обс.
21%
Chloe Foster
$805 Обс.
5%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest among multiple sitting councillors and former officeholders ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. With nominations scheduled to open on September 7 and close September 21, traders see Leanne Raw, Kevin Hyland, and Duniam as the closest contenders in the current pricing, while Chloe Foster and a long tail of others remain lower. Preferential voting and Robson rotation on ballot papers further complicate early assessments in this compulsory-vote council race, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered until candidate statements and final nominations clarify voter preferences.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,794Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest among multiple sitting councillors and former officeholders ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. With nominations scheduled to open on September 7 and close September 21, traders see Leanne Raw, Kevin Hyland, and Duniam as the closest contenders in the current pricing, while Chloe Foster and a long tail of others remain lower. Preferential voting and Robson rotation on ballot papers further complicate early assessments in this compulsory-vote council race, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered until candidate statements and final nominations clarify voter preferences.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Обсяг
$3,794Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest among multiple sitting councillors and former officeholders ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. With nominations scheduled to open on September 7 and close September 21, traders see Leanne Raw, Kevin Hyland, and Duniam as the closest contenders in the current pricing, while Chloe Foster and a long tail of others remain lower. Preferential voting and Robson rotation on ballot papers further complicate early assessments in this compulsory-vote council race, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered until candidate statements and final nominations clarify voter preferences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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