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What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

$636K - $663K 51.8%

$609K - $636K 25.6%

$582K - $609K 6.9%

$663K - $689K 6.9%

Polymarket

$31,495 Обс.

$636K - $663K 51.8%

$609K - $636K 25.6%

$582K - $609K 6.9%

$663K - $689K 6.9%

Polymarket

$31,495 Обс.

<$555K

$628 Обс.

<1%

$555K - $582K

$1,880 Обс.

1%

$582K - $609K

$508 Обс.

7%

$609K - $636K

$7,118 Обс.

26%

$636K - $663K

$19,911 Обс.

52%

$663K - $689K

$687 Обс.

9%

$689K+

$762 Обс.

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show New York City home values rising modestly year-over-year, with typical values near $830K–$885K amid persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates around 6.5%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.4% implied probability for the $636K–$663K bin, aligns with expectations of continued gradual appreciation through September, supported by steady demand in a supply-constrained market. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on inflation and labor conditions that could influence rate expectations, alongside seasonal transaction patterns. The narrower range around current levels captures the market-implied path given limited volatility in recent months.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Обсяг
$31,495
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show New York City home values rising modestly year-over-year, with typical values near $830K–$885K amid persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates around 6.5%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.4% implied probability for the $636K–$663K bin, aligns with expectations of continued gradual appreciation through September, supported by steady demand in a supply-constrained market. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on inflation and labor conditions that could influence rate expectations, alongside seasonal transaction patterns. The narrower range around current levels captures the market-implied path given limited volatility in recent months.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Обсяг
$31,495
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «$636K - $663K» з 52%, далі «$609K - $636K» з 26%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?» згенерував $31.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?» — «$636K - $663K» з 52%. Наступний — «$609K - $636K» з 26%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.