Toy Story 5 holds overwhelming trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the third-biggest 2026 opening weekend thanks to the franchise’s proven box-office muscle, Pixar’s animation brand strength, and expected wide family appeal during a crowded summer or holiday window. Historical Toy Story releases have routinely delivered massive debuts supported by merchandising and repeat viewings, positioning the sequel ahead of other tentpoles in current tracking. Realistic upset paths include stronger-than-expected presales or reviews for Avengers: Doomsday or Dune: Messiah if their release dates create less direct competition, or if Toy Story 5 faces softer family turnout amid shifting audience tastes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 3.9%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.0%
$30,740 Обс.
$30,740 Обс.
Toy Story 5
95%
Dune: Messiah
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
<1%
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 3.9%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.0%
$30,740 Обс.
$30,740 Обс.
Toy Story 5
95%
Dune: Messiah
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5 holds overwhelming trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the third-biggest 2026 opening weekend thanks to the franchise’s proven box-office muscle, Pixar’s animation brand strength, and expected wide family appeal during a crowded summer or holiday window. Historical Toy Story releases have routinely delivered massive debuts supported by merchandising and repeat viewings, positioning the sequel ahead of other tentpoles in current tracking. Realistic upset paths include stronger-than-expected presales or reviews for Avengers: Doomsday or Dune: Messiah if their release dates create less direct competition, or if Toy Story 5 faces softer family turnout amid shifting audience tastes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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