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Політика·Congress

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

icon for Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
Політика·Congress

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$148,701 Обс.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$148,701 Обс.

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$48,220 Обс.

Yes

Elizabeth Warren

$48,348 Обс.

No

Bernie Sanders

$18,232 Обс.

No

Chuck Schumer

$6,952 Обс.

No

Lisa Murkowski

$793 Обс.

Yes

Kevin Cramer

$8,227 Обс.

Yes

John Kennedy

$17,929 Обс.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair in a 54-45 vote on May 13, 2026, with Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman crossing party lines to join Republicans, marking the slimmest margin for a Fed Chair confirmation. President Trump had nominated the former Fed governor in March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15. Warsh first cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote in late April, followed by a 49-44 cloture invocation on May 11 and 51-45 approval for the Board of Governors seat yesterday. Traders should monitor official Senate records for individual vote tallies, as the two-step process—governor confirmation then chair designation—resolves the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$148,701
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair in a 54-45 vote on May 13, 2026, with Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman crossing party lines to join Republicans, marking the slimmest margin for a Fed Chair confirmation. President Trump had nominated the former Fed governor in March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15. Warsh first cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote in late April, followed by a 49-44 cloture invocation on May 11 and 51-45 approval for the Board of Governors seat yesterday. Traders should monitor official Senate records for individual vote tallies, as the two-step process—governor confirmation then chair designation—resolves the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$148,701
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

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«Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Thom Tillis» з 100%, далі «Lisa Murkowski» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

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