Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced in May 2026 a non-binding October 19 referendum question asking voters whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding independence referendum. Recent polling from Ipsos, Leger, Pollara, and Angus Reid shows 65-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-24% backing the separation track, with opposition steady or rising since early 2026. Court rulings struck down citizen petitions over unaddressed First Nations treaty rights, while Smith has stated her preference for continued Confederation. These factors, combined with constitutional barriers to unilateral secession, underpin trader consensus pricing a decisive rejection at the October ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено7% шанс
$253,859 Обс.
$253,859 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
$253,859 Обс.
$253,859 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced in May 2026 a non-binding October 19 referendum question asking voters whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding independence referendum. Recent polling from Ipsos, Leger, Pollara, and Angus Reid shows 65-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-24% backing the separation track, with opposition steady or rising since early 2026. Court rulings struck down citizen petitions over unaddressed First Nations treaty rights, while Smith has stated her preference for continued Confederation. These factors, combined with constitutional barriers to unilateral secession, underpin trader consensus pricing a decisive rejection at the October ballot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$253,859Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced in May 2026 a non-binding October 19 referendum question asking voters whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding independence referendum. Recent polling from Ipsos, Leger, Pollara, and Angus Reid shows 65-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-24% backing the separation track, with opposition steady or rising since early 2026. Court rulings struck down citizen petitions over unaddressed First Nations treaty rights, while Smith has stated her preference for continued Confederation. These factors, combined with constitutional barriers to unilateral secession, underpin trader consensus pricing a decisive rejection at the October ballot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$253,859Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced in May 2026 a non-binding October 19 referendum question asking voters whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding independence referendum. Recent polling from Ipsos, Leger, Pollara, and Angus Reid shows 65-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-24% backing the separation track, with opposition steady or rising since early 2026. Court rulings struck down citizen petitions over unaddressed First Nations treaty rights, while Smith has stated her preference for continued Confederation. These factors, combined with constitutional barriers to unilateral secession, underpin trader consensus pricing a decisive rejection at the October ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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