Recent declines in Canadian headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June, driven by sharply lower gasoline prices following the Middle East ceasefire, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual average near the current trajectory. Bank of Canada projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward the 2% target midpoint amid subdued growth, with the policy rate held at 2.25%. Core measures (median at 1.9%, trimmed mean at 1.8%) have also moderated to multi-year lows, supporting the 39.5% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% bin while limiting upside to higher ranges. The pending July CPI release on August 17 and ongoing labor market softness remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the year-end path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 39.5%
2.0–2.4% 16.1%
3.0-3.4% 15.4%
1.5–1.9% 14.0%
$38,063 Обс.
$38,063 Обс.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
14%
2.0–2.4%
16%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
15%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
2%
2.5–2.9% 39.5%
2.0–2.4% 16.1%
3.0-3.4% 15.4%
1.5–1.9% 14.0%
$38,063 Обс.
$38,063 Обс.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$1,081 Обс.
3%
1.0–1.4%
$5,268 Обс.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,350 Обс.
14%
2.0–2.4%
$1,066 Обс.
16%
2.5–2.9%
$9,552 Обс.
40%
3.0-3.4%
$13,753 Обс.
15%
3.5-3.9%
$3,511 Обс.
13%
4.0%+
$482 Обс.
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent declines in Canadian headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June, driven by sharply lower gasoline prices following the Middle East ceasefire, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual average near the current trajectory. Bank of Canada projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward the 2% target midpoint amid subdued growth, with the policy rate held at 2.25%. Core measures (median at 1.9%, trimmed mean at 1.8%) have also moderated to multi-year lows, supporting the 39.5% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% bin while limiting upside to higher ranges. The pending July CPI release on August 17 and ongoing labor market softness remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the year-end path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$38,063Дата завершення
Jan 18, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent declines in Canadian headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June, driven by sharply lower gasoline prices following the Middle East ceasefire, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual average near the current trajectory. Bank of Canada projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward the 2% target midpoint amid subdued growth, with the policy rate held at 2.25%. Core measures (median at 1.9%, trimmed mean at 1.8%) have also moderated to multi-year lows, supporting the 39.5% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% bin while limiting upside to higher ranges. The pending July CPI release on August 17 and ongoing labor market softness remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the year-end path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Обсяг
$38,063Дата завершення
Jan 18, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent declines in Canadian headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June, driven by sharply lower gasoline prices following the Middle East ceasefire, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual average near the current trajectory. Bank of Canada projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward the 2% target midpoint amid subdued growth, with the policy rate held at 2.25%. Core measures (median at 1.9%, trimmed mean at 1.8%) have also moderated to multi-year lows, supporting the 39.5% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% bin while limiting upside to higher ranges. The pending July CPI release on August 17 and ongoing labor market softness remain key near-term catalysts that could refine the year-end path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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