Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 67.5% implied probability, driven by its recent revenue run-rate surpassing OpenAI's—$30 billion annualized recurring revenue versus $24 billion—as highlighted in secondary market data from late April. Anthropic's enterprise-focused Claude AI model has secured eight of the Fortune 10 as customers, fueling capital-efficient growth and a secondary valuation spike to $893 billion, outpacing OpenAI's flat $772 billion amid waning demand. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay a 2026 listing to 2027 due to infrastructure costs and reporting pressures, plus insider share sales signaling caution. Watch for Anthropic's potential $30 billion raise closing this month and S-1 filings as key catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnthropic
$54,214 Обс.
$54,214 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$54,214 Обс.
$54,214 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 67.5% implied probability, driven by its recent revenue run-rate surpassing OpenAI's—$30 billion annualized recurring revenue versus $24 billion—as highlighted in secondary market data from late April. Anthropic's enterprise-focused Claude AI model has secured eight of the Fortune 10 as customers, fueling capital-efficient growth and a secondary valuation spike to $893 billion, outpacing OpenAI's flat $772 billion amid waning demand. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay a 2026 listing to 2027 due to infrastructure costs and reporting pressures, plus insider share sales signaling caution. Watch for Anthropic's potential $30 billion raise closing this month and S-1 filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$54,214Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 67.5% implied probability, driven by its recent revenue run-rate surpassing OpenAI's—$30 billion annualized recurring revenue versus $24 billion—as highlighted in secondary market data from late April. Anthropic's enterprise-focused Claude AI model has secured eight of the Fortune 10 as customers, fueling capital-efficient growth and a secondary valuation spike to $893 billion, outpacing OpenAI's flat $772 billion amid waning demand. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay a 2026 listing to 2027 due to infrastructure costs and reporting pressures, plus insider share sales signaling caution. Watch for Anthropic's potential $30 billion raise closing this month and S-1 filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$54,214Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 67.5% implied probability, driven by its recent revenue run-rate surpassing OpenAI's—$30 billion annualized recurring revenue versus $24 billion—as highlighted in secondary market data from late April. Anthropic's enterprise-focused Claude AI model has secured eight of the Fortune 10 as customers, fueling capital-efficient growth and a secondary valuation spike to $893 billion, outpacing OpenAI's flat $772 billion amid waning demand. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay a 2026 listing to 2027 due to infrastructure costs and reporting pressures, plus insider share sales signaling caution. Watch for Anthropic's potential $30 billion raise closing this month and S-1 filings as key catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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