Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active investor meetings in July targeting an October debut, drives the strong 86% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer has advanced further in the SEC review process and appears positioned to list in late 2026 at a potential trillion-dollar valuation after its recent $965 billion private round. OpenAI filed its own S-1 shortly afterward on June 8 but has since leaned toward a 2027 timeline amid shifting priorities and market considerations. Traders view these timelines as the decisive swing factor, with Anthropic's faster regulatory and roadshow progress creating clear separation in the race between the two leading large language model companies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnthropic
86% шанс
$283,921 Обс.
$283,921 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
86% шанс
$283,921 Обс.
$283,921 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active investor meetings in July targeting an October debut, drives the strong 86% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer has advanced further in the SEC review process and appears positioned to list in late 2026 at a potential trillion-dollar valuation after its recent $965 billion private round. OpenAI filed its own S-1 shortly afterward on June 8 but has since leaned toward a 2027 timeline amid shifting priorities and market considerations. Traders view these timelines as the decisive swing factor, with Anthropic's faster regulatory and roadshow progress creating clear separation in the race between the two leading large language model companies.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$283,921Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active investor meetings in July targeting an October debut, drives the strong 86% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer has advanced further in the SEC review process and appears positioned to list in late 2026 at a potential trillion-dollar valuation after its recent $965 billion private round. OpenAI filed its own S-1 shortly afterward on June 8 but has since leaned toward a 2027 timeline amid shifting priorities and market considerations. Traders view these timelines as the decisive swing factor, with Anthropic's faster regulatory and roadshow progress creating clear separation in the race between the two leading large language model companies.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$283,921Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active investor meetings in July targeting an October debut, drives the strong 86% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer has advanced further in the SEC review process and appears positioned to list in late 2026 at a potential trillion-dollar valuation after its recent $965 billion private round. OpenAI filed its own S-1 shortly afterward on June 8 but has since leaned toward a 2027 timeline amid shifting priorities and market considerations. Traders view these timelines as the decisive swing factor, with Anthropic's faster regulatory and roadshow progress creating clear separation in the race between the two leading large language model companies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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