Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by its June confidential SEC filing targeting an autumn 2026 Nasdaq listing, forms the core driver behind the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run-rate, major compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others, and frontier large language model progress have fueled strong trader consensus on premium public pricing near or above $1 trillion. The low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect expectations of a near-term launch with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley leading. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include broader market volatility, regulatory scrutiny on AI, or competitive shifts that delay the timeline or compress multiples.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено600B+ 95.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Обс.
$420,582 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
95%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
600B+ 95.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Обс.
$420,582 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$156,438 Обс.
<1%
100–200B
$72,886 Обс.
<1%
200–300B
$19,764 Обс.
<1%
300–400B
$69,792 Обс.
<1%
400–600B
$22,147 Обс.
1%
600B+
$46,283 Обс.
95%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$33,273 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by its June confidential SEC filing targeting an autumn 2026 Nasdaq listing, forms the core driver behind the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run-rate, major compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others, and frontier large language model progress have fueled strong trader consensus on premium public pricing near or above $1 trillion. The low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect expectations of a near-term launch with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley leading. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include broader market volatility, regulatory scrutiny on AI, or competitive shifts that delay the timeline or compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$420,582Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by its June confidential SEC filing targeting an autumn 2026 Nasdaq listing, forms the core driver behind the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run-rate, major compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others, and frontier large language model progress have fueled strong trader consensus on premium public pricing near or above $1 trillion. The low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect expectations of a near-term launch with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley leading. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include broader market volatility, regulatory scrutiny on AI, or competitive shifts that delay the timeline or compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$420,582Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by its June confidential SEC filing targeting an autumn 2026 Nasdaq listing, forms the core driver behind the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run-rate, major compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others, and frontier large language model progress have fueled strong trader consensus on premium public pricing near or above $1 trillion. The low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect expectations of a near-term launch with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley leading. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include broader market volatility, regulatory scrutiny on AI, or competitive shifts that delay the timeline or compress multiples.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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