Anthropic’s dominant 95.7% market-implied probability for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap reflects its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, and confidential IPO filing in June with a targeted September or October debut. Enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model has accelerated, outpacing prior private rounds and positioning the company ahead of peers like OpenAI in recent funding momentum. Traders view the near-trillion-dollar private benchmark and projected 2028 revenue forecasts near $200 billion as strong signals for a substantial public valuation. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, shifts in AI infrastructure spending, or broader market volatility that could compress multiples.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено600B+ 95.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.1%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Обс.
$420,582 Обс.
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
600B+ 95.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.1%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Обс.
$420,582 Обс.
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s dominant 95.7% market-implied probability for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap reflects its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, and confidential IPO filing in June with a targeted September or October debut. Enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model has accelerated, outpacing prior private rounds and positioning the company ahead of peers like OpenAI in recent funding momentum. Traders view the near-trillion-dollar private benchmark and projected 2028 revenue forecasts near $200 billion as strong signals for a substantial public valuation. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, shifts in AI infrastructure spending, or broader market volatility that could compress multiples.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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