Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
1.5–1.8T 13%
$46,231 Обс.
$46,231 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
1.5–1.8T 13%
$46,231 Обс.
$46,231 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Обс.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Обс.
5%
0.9–1.2T
$6,108 Обс.
11%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 Обс.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,471 Обс.
13%
1.8T+
$11,487 Обс.
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,373 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$46,231Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$46,231Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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