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Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?

icon for Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
Спорт·Чемпіонат світу з футболу

Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?

18% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
18% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 18% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 18¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 18%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?» — 18% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 18% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.