Spain and France lead trader consensus for reaching the 2026 World Cup final, buoyed by recent European success and deep attacking options featuring talents like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé. Spain enters with momentum from its Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League showings, while France benefits from consistent knockout experience and squad depth. Argentina seeks back-to-back titles as defending champions, with Portugal and England close behind on form and individual quality. The expanded 48-team format and bracket pathways—separating top seeds to delay potential clashes until late stages—shape early positioning, alongside group-stage results that have already shifted implied probabilities for dark horses like Morocco. Host-nation advantages for the USA, Canada, and Mexico remain secondary to established contenders' pedigree.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWorld Cup: Nation to Reach Final
$690,412 Обс.
Spain
29%
France
26%
England
25%
Argentina
22%
Portugal
22%
Brazil
18%
Germany
15%
Netherlands
13%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Morocco
6%
USA
6%
Norway
6%
Mexico
4%
Japan
4%
Switzerland
4%
Croatia
4%
Uruguay
3%
New Zealand
3%
Sweden
2%
Ecuador
2%
Austria
2%
Senegal
2%
Czechia
2%
South Africa
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Canada
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
South Korea
2%
Ghana
2%
Paraguay
2%
Algeria
2%
Scotland
2%
Qatar
2%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Australia
1%
Tunisia
1%
Turkiye
1%
Egypt
1%
DR Congo
1%
Iran
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Jordan
1%
Curacao
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Haiti
<1%
$690,412 Обс.
Spain
29%
France
26%
England
25%
Argentina
22%
Portugal
22%
Brazil
18%
Germany
15%
Netherlands
13%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Morocco
6%
USA
6%
Norway
6%
Mexico
4%
Japan
4%
Switzerland
4%
Croatia
4%
Uruguay
3%
New Zealand
3%
Sweden
2%
Ecuador
2%
Austria
2%
Senegal
2%
Czechia
2%
South Africa
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Canada
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
South Korea
2%
Ghana
2%
Paraguay
2%
Algeria
2%
Scotland
2%
Qatar
2%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Australia
1%
Tunisia
1%
Turkiye
1%
Egypt
1%
DR Congo
1%
Iran
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Jordan
1%
Curacao
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Haiti
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spain and France lead trader consensus for reaching the 2026 World Cup final, buoyed by recent European success and deep attacking options featuring talents like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé. Spain enters with momentum from its Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League showings, while France benefits from consistent knockout experience and squad depth. Argentina seeks back-to-back titles as defending champions, with Portugal and England close behind on form and individual quality. The expanded 48-team format and bracket pathways—separating top seeds to delay potential clashes until late stages—shape early positioning, alongside group-stage results that have already shifted implied probabilities for dark horses like Morocco. Host-nation advantages for the USA, Canada, and Mexico remain secondary to established contenders' pedigree.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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