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Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

icon for Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

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Polymarket
НОВЕ
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Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Coxon, a former OpenAI and Anthropic pretraining researcher, resigned publicly on September 8, 2026, and posted detailed warnings on X about labs racing toward self-improving superintelligence without adequate safeguards. The viral statements, amplified by endorsements from figures like Anthropic's Evan Hubinger and coinciding with the introduction of the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act by Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Greg Casar, have heightened congressional attention to AI risks. With the implied probability of public testimony by October 31 near even, trader balance reflects uncertainty over whether committees will extend a formal invitation and schedule a hearing in the narrow window before the midterms, versus the typical pace of legislative scheduling, competing priorities, and the absence of confirmed outreach to date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$16
Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Coxon, a former OpenAI and Anthropic pretraining researcher, resigned publicly on September 8, 2026, and posted detailed warnings on X about labs racing toward self-improving superintelligence without adequate safeguards. The viral statements, amplified by endorsements from figures like Anthropic's Evan Hubinger and coinciding with the introduction of the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act by Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Greg Casar, have heightened congressional attention to AI risks. With the implied probability of public testimony by October 31 near even, trader balance reflects uncertainty over whether committees will extend a formal invitation and schedule a hearing in the narrow window before the midterms, versus the typical pace of legislative scheduling, competing priorities, and the absence of confirmed outreach to date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$16
Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 49% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 49¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 49%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?» — 49% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 49% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.