Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary after late mail ballots allowed Nithya Raman to overtake him for second place behind Karen Bass. On June 12, Pratt posted a video stating that the campaign portion of his effort had concluded while vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates and teasing unspecified recordings, without contesting results or requesting a recount. Trader positioning reflects this public signal of acceptance alongside uncertainty over whether subsequent statements meet formal concession criteria by specific resolution dates. Certification timelines, any follow-up comments, and the absence of legal challenges remain the main variables that could shift implied probabilities in related markets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$18,443 Обс.
June 15
26%
July 2
52%
$18,443 Обс.
June 15
26%
July 2
52%
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary after late mail ballots allowed Nithya Raman to overtake him for second place behind Karen Bass. On June 12, Pratt posted a video stating that the campaign portion of his effort had concluded while vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates and teasing unspecified recordings, without contesting results or requesting a recount. Trader positioning reflects this public signal of acceptance alongside uncertainty over whether subsequent statements meet formal concession criteria by specific resolution dates. Certification timelines, any follow-up comments, and the absence of legal challenges remain the main variables that could shift implied probabilities in related markets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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