The Salvator Mundi’s 89.5% market-implied odds for “No” by December 31, 2026, stem from its unbroken absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale and the complete lack of confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the Leonardo-attributed work remains in secure storage—most recently reported in a Geneva freeport—while awaiting a purpose-built Riyadh museum tied to Vision 2030 cultural ambitions whose construction timeline extends well beyond year-end. Precursor loans, including the canceled 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi showing and a planned but unrealized 2019 Louvre Paris appearance, underscore a pattern of secrecy and deferral. With no guild-style precursors, critic previews, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper signaling a late-2026 debut, traders see negligible near-term catalysts capable of overcoming the entrenched barriers of institutional readiness and owner strategy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
5% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
5% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The Salvator Mundi’s 89.5% market-implied odds for “No” by December 31, 2026, stem from its unbroken absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale and the complete lack of confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the Leonardo-attributed work remains in secure storage—most recently reported in a Geneva freeport—while awaiting a purpose-built Riyadh museum tied to Vision 2030 cultural ambitions whose construction timeline extends well beyond year-end. Precursor loans, including the canceled 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi showing and a planned but unrealized 2019 Louvre Paris appearance, underscore a pattern of secrecy and deferral. With no guild-style precursors, critic previews, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper signaling a late-2026 debut, traders see negligible near-term catalysts capable of overcoming the entrenched barriers of institutional readiness and owner strategy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,625Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The Salvator Mundi’s 89.5% market-implied odds for “No” by December 31, 2026, stem from its unbroken absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale and the complete lack of confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the Leonardo-attributed work remains in secure storage—most recently reported in a Geneva freeport—while awaiting a purpose-built Riyadh museum tied to Vision 2030 cultural ambitions whose construction timeline extends well beyond year-end. Precursor loans, including the canceled 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi showing and a planned but unrealized 2019 Louvre Paris appearance, underscore a pattern of secrecy and deferral. With no guild-style precursors, critic previews, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper signaling a late-2026 debut, traders see negligible near-term catalysts capable of overcoming the entrenched barriers of institutional readiness and owner strategy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
Обсяг
$2,625Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The Salvator Mundi’s 89.5% market-implied odds for “No” by December 31, 2026, stem from its unbroken absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale and the complete lack of confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the Leonardo-attributed work remains in secure storage—most recently reported in a Geneva freeport—while awaiting a purpose-built Riyadh museum tied to Vision 2030 cultural ambitions whose construction timeline extends well beyond year-end. Precursor loans, including the canceled 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi showing and a planned but unrealized 2019 Louvre Paris appearance, underscore a pattern of secrecy and deferral. With no guild-style precursors, critic previews, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper signaling a late-2026 debut, traders see negligible near-term catalysts capable of overcoming the entrenched barriers of institutional readiness and owner strategy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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