Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed to pause hostilities and restore maritime access but has faced repeated violations, renewed strikes, and stalled follow-on talks mediated by Qatar and Pakistan. Congressional pushback includes multiple House War Powers resolutions seeking to limit executive authority, reflecting divided support amid midterm pressures and concerns over munitions stockpiles. Diplomatic efforts continue alongside sanctions relief discussions and nuclear inspection disputes, while primary source statements from both governments emphasize incremental de-escalation over escalation to declared war. Scheduled negotiations and legislative votes remain key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Ірану за...?
Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Ірану за...?
$7,824,572 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
31 грудня
3%
$7,824,572 Обс.
31 грудня
$851,938 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed to pause hostilities and restore maritime access but has faced repeated violations, renewed strikes, and stalled follow-on talks mediated by Qatar and Pakistan. Congressional pushback includes multiple House War Powers resolutions seeking to limit executive authority, reflecting divided support amid midterm pressures and concerns over munitions stockpiles. Diplomatic efforts continue alongside sanctions relief discussions and nuclear inspection disputes, while primary source statements from both governments emphasize incremental de-escalation over escalation to declared war. Scheduled negotiations and legislative votes remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,824,572Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed to pause hostilities and restore maritime access but has faced repeated violations, renewed strikes, and stalled follow-on talks mediated by Qatar and Pakistan. Congressional pushback includes multiple House War Powers resolutions seeking to limit executive authority, reflecting divided support amid midterm pressures and concerns over munitions stockpiles. Diplomatic efforts continue alongside sanctions relief discussions and nuclear inspection disputes, while primary source statements from both governments emphasize incremental de-escalation over escalation to declared war. Scheduled negotiations and legislative votes remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$7,824,572Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding aimed to pause hostilities and restore maritime access but has faced repeated violations, renewed strikes, and stalled follow-on talks mediated by Qatar and Pakistan. Congressional pushback includes multiple House War Powers resolutions seeking to limit executive authority, reflecting divided support amid midterm pressures and concerns over munitions stockpiles. Diplomatic efforts continue alongside sanctions relief discussions and nuclear inspection disputes, while primary source statements from both governments emphasize incremental de-escalation over escalation to declared war. Scheduled negotiations and legislative votes remain key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання