The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArgentina 34%
Spain 29%
England 27%
France 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 19, 2026
Argentina
34%
Spain
29%
England
27%
France
16%
Argentina 34%
Spain 29%
England 27%
France 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 19, 2026
Argentina
$52 Обс.
34%
Spain
$14 Обс.
29%
England
$36 Обс.
27%
France
$0 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$102Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$102Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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