The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four with each side playing three group-stage matches, drives the overwhelming trader consensus that at least one team will finish winless. Historically, multiple nations in every edition have recorded zero victories amid lopsided matchups, and the inclusion of several lower-ranked qualifiers heightens that likelihood. Recent qualification results and FIFA rankings further reinforce expectations of uneven group outcomes. While near-certain pricing reflects this structural reality, the market could shift only if widespread upsets produce an unusually balanced field or if scheduling anomalies limit decisive results across all groups.