The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBryce Harper 47.9%
Willson Contreras 0
Ben Rice 0
Junior Caminero 0
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 13, 2026
Bryce Harper
48%
Willson Contreras
-
Ben Rice
-
Junior Caminero
-
Jac Caglianone
-
Jordan Walker
-
Kyle Schwarber
-
Bryce Harper 47.9%
Willson Contreras 0
Ben Rice 0
Junior Caminero 0
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 13, 2026
Bryce Harper
$46 KL.
48%
Willson Contreras
$27 KL.
-
Ben Rice
$27 KL.
-
Junior Caminero
$43 KL.
-
Jac Caglianone
$27 KL.
-
Jordan Walker
$46 KL.
-
Kyle Schwarber
$34 KL.
-
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$252Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$252Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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