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Thể Thao·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Thể Thao·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 20%

Munetaka Murakami 15%

Matt Olson 6.9%

Polymarket
MỚI

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 20%

Munetaka Murakami 15%

Matt Olson 6.9%

Polymarket
MỚI

Aaron Judge

$141 KL.

37%

Kyle Schwarber

$398 KL.

20%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,396 KL.

15%

Matt Olson

$661 KL.

7%

Yordan Alvarez

$21 KL.

7%

James Wood

$5 KL.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$5 KL.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$218 KL.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$161 KL.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$201 KL.

2%

Ben Rice

$5 KL.

2%

Jordan Walker

$5 KL.

2%

CJ Abrams

$5 KL.

1%

Manny Machado

$5 KL.

1%

Cal Raleigh

$5 KL.

1%

Junior Caminero

$5 KL.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$32 KL.

1%

Sal Stewart

$5 KL.

1%

George Springer

$27 KL.

1%

Mike Trout

$5 KL.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$5 KL.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$5 KL.

1%

Juan Soto

$5 KL.

1%

Rafael Devers

$5 KL.

1%

Pete Alonso

$5 KL.

1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, fueled by his league-record 62 homers in 2022 and 58 in 2024, plus tying the current lead at 16 long balls alongside Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, whose blistering six homers over five games have propelled him to 20% amid a .950 OPS start in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. White Sox newcomer Munetaka Murakami sits one back at 15 with a historic rookie surge post his $34 million signing, earning 15% on raw power from his NPB background. Braves 1B Matt Olson (14 HRs, 7%) and Astros OF Yordan Alvarez (13, 7%) lurk as proven sluggers rebounding strong early, while clean injury reports and favorable schedules sustain the top pack in this marathon race.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$4,330
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 28, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, fueled by his league-record 62 homers in 2022 and 58 in 2024, plus tying the current lead at 16 long balls alongside Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, whose blistering six homers over five games have propelled him to 20% amid a .950 OPS start in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. White Sox newcomer Munetaka Murakami sits one back at 15 with a historic rookie surge post his $34 million signing, earning 15% on raw power from his NPB background. Braves 1B Matt Olson (14 HRs, 7%) and Astros OF Yordan Alvarez (13, 7%) lurk as proven sluggers rebounding strong early, while clean injury reports and favorable schedules sustain the top pack in this marathon race.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$4,330
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 28, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 25 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Aaron Judge" ở mức 37%, tiếp theo là "Kyle Schwarber" ở mức 20%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 37¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 37% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Apr 22, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "MLB: Home Runs Leader," duyệt 25 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "MLB: Home Runs Leader" là "Aaron Judge" ở mức 37%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 37% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Kyle Schwarber" ở mức 20%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "MLB: Home Runs Leader" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.