Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club as the clear trader favorite for a top-20 finish, buoyed by his recent dominance with three straight runner-up results and leading strokes-gained totals. Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young follow closely, with McIlroy’s major experience and Young’s current hot streak—including two wins and strong Masters showing—supporting elevated implied probabilities in this category. The course’s long layoff since 1962 adds uncertainty for less familiar players, while consistent major performers benefit from historical resilience through volatility. Recent form, iron play accuracy, and putting stability on the tree-lined layout remain the primary drivers shaping consensus pricing for top-20 outcomes.