António Guterres is completing his second and final five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway through General Assembly and Security Council procedures initiated in late 2025. Multiple candidates have participated in interactive dialogues, and member states are advancing toward a recommendation and appointment expected later in 2026 for a January 2027 start. Guterres continues to issue statements and outline final-year priorities on global issues without reported institutional pressure or formal challenges to his tenure. These established term limits and transition mechanics underpin trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability for “No,” indicating low expectation of early departure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
António Guterres out by December 31?
26% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
26% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres is completing his second and final five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway through General Assembly and Security Council procedures initiated in late 2025. Multiple candidates have participated in interactive dialogues, and member states are advancing toward a recommendation and appointment expected later in 2026 for a January 2027 start. Guterres continues to issue statements and outline final-year priorities on global issues without reported institutional pressure or formal challenges to his tenure. These established term limits and transition mechanics underpin trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability for “No,” indicating low expectation of early departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,213Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres is completing his second and final five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway through General Assembly and Security Council procedures initiated in late 2025. Multiple candidates have participated in interactive dialogues, and member states are advancing toward a recommendation and appointment expected later in 2026 for a January 2027 start. Guterres continues to issue statements and outline final-year priorities on global issues without reported institutional pressure or formal challenges to his tenure. These established term limits and transition mechanics underpin trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability for “No,” indicating low expectation of early departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,213Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres is completing his second and final five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway through General Assembly and Security Council procedures initiated in late 2025. Multiple candidates have participated in interactive dialogues, and member states are advancing toward a recommendation and appointment expected later in 2026 for a January 2027 start. Guterres continues to issue statements and outline final-year priorities on global issues without reported institutional pressure or formal challenges to his tenure. These established term limits and transition mechanics underpin trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability for “No,” indicating low expectation of early departure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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