**António Guterres is serving out the final months of his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on December 31, 2026, under standard term limits.** The selection process for his successor formally opened in late 2025, with Security Council straw polls held in July–October 2026 and additional rounds scheduled, but these follow the established diplomatic timeline for a January 2027 handover. Guterres has publicly confirmed his departure, stating he will return to Portugal in early 2027 and has no interest in an interim role. Recent developments, including his September 2026 final UN General Assembly address and ongoing October engagements, show him actively fulfilling duties without signals of early resignation, removal, or health-related exit. Trader consensus at 72% for “No” aligns with the absence of any procedural, geopolitical, or institutional developments that would interrupt the scheduled term end, consistent with historical patterns for UN leadership transitions.