Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent top performance in recent Security Council straw polls, including nine encourage votes in the third round held September 18. The Costa Rican candidate, currently on leave from her UNCTAD role, benefits from regional group support and broader backing among the 15 Council members compared with Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, who placed second with eight encourage votes in the same poll. Multiple rounds of confidential voting continue without a P5 consensus or veto signals yet emerging, while lower-polling nominees such as María Fernanda Espinosa, Rafael Grossi, and others trail further behind. Interactive dialogues concluded earlier in 2026, and the process now centers on narrowing options ahead of a formal recommendation to the General Assembly before António Guterres’s term ends December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 46%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 14.9%
María Fernanda Espinosa 11.1%
Rafael Grossi 4.3%
$199,739 KL.
$199,739 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
46%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
15%
María Fernanda Espinosa
11%
Rafael Grossi
4%
Macky Sall
3%
Michelle Bachelet
1%
Olara Otunnu
1%
Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 46%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 14.9%
María Fernanda Espinosa 11.1%
Rafael Grossi 4.3%
$199,739 KL.
$199,739 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
$20,529 KL.
46%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
$3,834 KL.
15%
María Fernanda Espinosa
$7,504 KL.
11%
Rafael Grossi
$28,275 KL.
4%
Macky Sall
$121,640 KL.
3%
Michelle Bachelet
$12,166 KL.
1%
Olara Otunnu
$3,049 KL.
1%
Ivonne de Baki
$2,742 KL.
1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent top performance in recent Security Council straw polls, including nine encourage votes in the third round held September 18. The Costa Rican candidate, currently on leave from her UNCTAD role, benefits from regional group support and broader backing among the 15 Council members compared with Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, who placed second with eight encourage votes in the same poll. Multiple rounds of confidential voting continue without a P5 consensus or veto signals yet emerging, while lower-polling nominees such as María Fernanda Espinosa, Rafael Grossi, and others trail further behind. Interactive dialogues concluded earlier in 2026, and the process now centers on narrowing options ahead of a formal recommendation to the General Assembly before António Guterres’s term ends December 31.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$199,739Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent top performance in recent Security Council straw polls, including nine encourage votes in the third round held September 18. The Costa Rican candidate, currently on leave from her UNCTAD role, benefits from regional group support and broader backing among the 15 Council members compared with Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, who placed second with eight encourage votes in the same poll. Multiple rounds of confidential voting continue without a P5 consensus or veto signals yet emerging, while lower-polling nominees such as María Fernanda Espinosa, Rafael Grossi, and others trail further behind. Interactive dialogues concluded earlier in 2026, and the process now centers on narrowing options ahead of a formal recommendation to the General Assembly before António Guterres’s term ends December 31.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$199,739Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent top performance in recent Security Council straw polls, including nine encourage votes in the third round held September 18. The Costa Rican candidate, currently on leave from her UNCTAD role, benefits from regional group support and broader backing among the 15 Council members compared with Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, who placed second with eight encourage votes in the same poll. Multiple rounds of confidential voting continue without a P5 consensus or veto signals yet emerging, while lower-polling nominees such as María Fernanda Espinosa, Rafael Grossi, and others trail further behind. Interactive dialogues concluded earlier in 2026, and the process now centers on narrowing options ahead of a formal recommendation to the General Assembly before António Guterres’s term ends December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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