Recent WWDC announcements of a rebuilt Siri AI and expanded Apple Intelligence features across iOS 27 and other platforms represent the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for device upgrade cycles and services revenue through year-end. With Apple’s market cap near $4.5 trillion, the tightly clustered outcomes between $4.0T–$5.5T reflect uncertainty over holiday iPhone sales momentum, silicon supply constraints, and the pace of AI monetization versus ongoing China exposure and regulatory pressures. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether on-device AI capabilities and ecosystem stickiness can differentiate Apple from faster-moving rivals, sustaining mid-teens growth in a high-valuation environment where any execution slip could cap upside.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$4.50-$5.00T 35%
$4.00-$4.50T 31%
$5.00-$5.50T 29%
$3.50-$4.00T 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
14%
$3.50-$4.00T
25%
$4.00-$4.50T
29%
$4.50-$5.00T
31%
$5.00-$5.50T
29%
$5.50-$6.00T
18%
$6.00T+
11%
$4.50-$5.00T 35%
$4.00-$4.50T 31%
$5.00-$5.50T 29%
$3.50-$4.00T 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$43 KL.
14%
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 KL.
25%
$4.00-$4.50T
$42 KL.
29%
$4.50-$5.00T
$55 KL.
31%
$5.00-$5.50T
$0 KL.
29%
$5.50-$6.00T
$0 KL.
18%
$6.00T+
$26 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent WWDC announcements of a rebuilt Siri AI and expanded Apple Intelligence features across iOS 27 and other platforms represent the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for device upgrade cycles and services revenue through year-end. With Apple’s market cap near $4.5 trillion, the tightly clustered outcomes between $4.0T–$5.5T reflect uncertainty over holiday iPhone sales momentum, silicon supply constraints, and the pace of AI monetization versus ongoing China exposure and regulatory pressures. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether on-device AI capabilities and ecosystem stickiness can differentiate Apple from faster-moving rivals, sustaining mid-teens growth in a high-valuation environment where any execution slip could cap upside.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$165Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent WWDC announcements of a rebuilt Siri AI and expanded Apple Intelligence features across iOS 27 and other platforms represent the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for device upgrade cycles and services revenue through year-end. With Apple’s market cap near $4.5 trillion, the tightly clustered outcomes between $4.0T–$5.5T reflect uncertainty over holiday iPhone sales momentum, silicon supply constraints, and the pace of AI monetization versus ongoing China exposure and regulatory pressures. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether on-device AI capabilities and ecosystem stickiness can differentiate Apple from faster-moving rivals, sustaining mid-teens growth in a high-valuation environment where any execution slip could cap upside.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Khối lượng
$165Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent WWDC announcements of a rebuilt Siri AI and expanded Apple Intelligence features across iOS 27 and other platforms represent the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for device upgrade cycles and services revenue through year-end. With Apple’s market cap near $4.5 trillion, the tightly clustered outcomes between $4.0T–$5.5T reflect uncertainty over holiday iPhone sales momentum, silicon supply constraints, and the pace of AI monetization versus ongoing China exposure and regulatory pressures. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether on-device AI capabilities and ecosystem stickiness can differentiate Apple from faster-moving rivals, sustaining mid-teens growth in a high-valuation environment where any execution slip could cap upside.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp