Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event, announcing only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo instead, has shaped trader views on release timing. Supply-chain analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and reporting from Bloomberg and MacRumors indicate Apple is shifting to a split schedule, with premium devices launching in fall and the standard iPhone 18, 18e, and iPhone Air 2 slated for early 2027 to manage manufacturing, pricing, and demand. This aligns with prior “e” series patterns and avoids overlapping with Pro hype or component constraints. No official reversal has emerged, leaving spring 2027 as the consensus window while highlighting risks from any last-minute schedule changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Feb 28, 2027
February 28, 2027
27%
March 31, 2027
68%
April 30, 2027
85%
$252 KL.
February 28, 2027
$124 KL.
27%
March 31, 2027
$88 KL.
68%
April 30, 2027
$40 KL.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event, announcing only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo instead, has shaped trader views on release timing. Supply-chain analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and reporting from Bloomberg and MacRumors indicate Apple is shifting to a split schedule, with premium devices launching in fall and the standard iPhone 18, 18e, and iPhone Air 2 slated for early 2027 to manage manufacturing, pricing, and demand. This aligns with prior “e” series patterns and avoids overlapping with Pro hype or component constraints. No official reversal has emerged, leaving spring 2027 as the consensus window while highlighting risks from any last-minute schedule changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$252Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event, announcing only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo instead, has shaped trader views on release timing. Supply-chain analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and reporting from Bloomberg and MacRumors indicate Apple is shifting to a split schedule, with premium devices launching in fall and the standard iPhone 18, 18e, and iPhone Air 2 slated for early 2027 to manage manufacturing, pricing, and demand. This aligns with prior “e” series patterns and avoids overlapping with Pro hype or component constraints. No official reversal has emerged, leaving spring 2027 as the consensus window while highlighting risks from any last-minute schedule changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$252Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event, announcing only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo instead, has shaped trader views on release timing. Supply-chain analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and reporting from Bloomberg and MacRumors indicate Apple is shifting to a split schedule, with premium devices launching in fall and the standard iPhone 18, 18e, and iPhone Air 2 slated for early 2027 to manage manufacturing, pricing, and demand. This aligns with prior “e” series patterns and avoids overlapping with Pro hype or component constraints. No official reversal has emerged, leaving spring 2027 as the consensus window while highlighting risks from any last-minute schedule changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp