The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, has generated modest bipartisan repeal efforts including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, along with public advocacy such as Dana White’s May 2026 letter to the administration. These initiatives have not advanced beyond introduction, however, due to competing legislative priorities, the revenue raised by the provision, and the procedural hurdles of tax code adjustments in the current session. With the change already in force and no floor votes or committee markups scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the limit remains intact through December 31, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật17% khả năng
$71,073 KL.
$71,073 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
17% khả năng
$71,073 KL.
$71,073 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, has generated modest bipartisan repeal efforts including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, along with public advocacy such as Dana White’s May 2026 letter to the administration. These initiatives have not advanced beyond introduction, however, due to competing legislative priorities, the revenue raised by the provision, and the procedural hurdles of tax code adjustments in the current session. With the change already in force and no floor votes or committee markups scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the limit remains intact through December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$71,073Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, has generated modest bipartisan repeal efforts including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, along with public advocacy such as Dana White’s May 2026 letter to the administration. These initiatives have not advanced beyond introduction, however, due to competing legislative priorities, the revenue raised by the provision, and the procedural hurdles of tax code adjustments in the current session. With the change already in force and no floor votes or committee markups scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the limit remains intact through December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$71,073Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, has generated modest bipartisan repeal efforts including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, along with public advocacy such as Dana White’s May 2026 letter to the administration. These initiatives have not advanced beyond introduction, however, due to competing legislative priorities, the revenue raised by the provision, and the procedural hurdles of tax code adjustments in the current session. With the change already in force and no floor votes or committee markups scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 83.5% probability that the limit remains intact through December 31, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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