The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật20% khả năng
$71,482 KL.
$71,482 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
20% khả năng
$71,482 KL.
$71,482 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$71,482Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$71,482Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp