Legislative barriers and procedural setbacks in Congress have anchored trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act will remain in place through 2026. The provision, designed as a $1.1 billion revenue offset effective January 1, 2026, faces resistance from Republicans prioritizing debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act, encountered recent rejection by the House Rules Committee, while the FULL HOUSE Act has seen no floor action amid divided chamber dynamics and midterm pressures. Industry lobbying, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 appeal to President Trump, has not yet produced scheduled votes or reconciliation inclusion that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$68,293 KL.
$68,293 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$68,293 KL.
$68,293 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Legislative barriers and procedural setbacks in Congress have anchored trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act will remain in place through 2026. The provision, designed as a $1.1 billion revenue offset effective January 1, 2026, faces resistance from Republicans prioritizing debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act, encountered recent rejection by the House Rules Committee, while the FULL HOUSE Act has seen no floor action amid divided chamber dynamics and midterm pressures. Industry lobbying, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 appeal to President Trump, has not yet produced scheduled votes or reconciliation inclusion that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$68,293Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Legislative barriers and procedural setbacks in Congress have anchored trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act will remain in place through 2026. The provision, designed as a $1.1 billion revenue offset effective January 1, 2026, faces resistance from Republicans prioritizing debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act, encountered recent rejection by the House Rules Committee, while the FULL HOUSE Act has seen no floor action amid divided chamber dynamics and midterm pressures. Industry lobbying, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 appeal to President Trump, has not yet produced scheduled votes or reconciliation inclusion that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$68,293Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative barriers and procedural setbacks in Congress have anchored trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act will remain in place through 2026. The provision, designed as a $1.1 billion revenue offset effective January 1, 2026, faces resistance from Republicans prioritizing debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act, encountered recent rejection by the House Rules Committee, while the FULL HOUSE Act has seen no floor action amid divided chamber dynamics and midterm pressures. Industry lobbying, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 appeal to President Trump, has not yet produced scheduled votes or reconciliation inclusion that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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