**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật73% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
73% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.europeantour.com/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.europeantour.com/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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