Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEmmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” 13.0%
Zendaya – “Euphoria” 2.7%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” 1.9%
$16,031 KL.
$16,031 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”
13%
Zendaya – “Euphoria”
3%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age”
2%
Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments”
1%
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” 13.0%
Zendaya – “Euphoria” 2.7%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” 1.9%
$16,031 KL.
$16,031 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
$9,168 KL.
84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”
$2,475 KL.
13%
Zendaya – “Euphoria”
$2,181 KL.
3%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age”
$1,552 KL.
2%
Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments”
$655 KL.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,031Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$16,031Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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