Spain’s squad depth, attacking creativity, and strong recent form in UEFA Nations League matches have driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming probability of topping Group H. Uruguay sits well behind as the clearest challenger thanks to its experienced core, solid defensive organization, and proven ability to compete in high-stakes qualifiers. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail significantly, reflecting lower FIFA rankings, limited success against elite opposition, and thinner attacking options heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. No major injuries or late roster changes have altered these dynamics in the past month, leaving the current ordering largely intact.