France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their elite Team Elo rating, depth led by Kylian Mbappé's sharp finishing in recent training camps, and Didier Deschamps' tactical mastery despite earlier setbacks like Hugo Ekitiké's April Achilles injury. Norway sits at 21.5% as the chief challenger, bolstered by Erling Haaland's qualifying dominance and Martin Ødegaard's creative spark, though his spring injury concerns tempered enthusiasm before recent squad confirmations. Senegal's 8.5% reflects Kalidou Koulibaly's defensive steel amid a thigh scare recovery, while Iraq languishes at 1.1% despite FIFA's approval of two new players this week and an upcoming Spain training camp, underscoring their underdog status in this stacked group. Trader consensus prioritizes France's form and matchup edges with the June 16 opener against Senegal looming.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrance 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq 1.1%
$135,087 KL.
$135,087 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
France
71%
Norway
22%
Senegal
9%
Iraq
1%
France 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq 1.1%
$135,087 KL.
$135,087 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
France
$59,419 KL.
71%
Norway
$15,002 KL.
22%
Senegal
$17,350 KL.
9%
Iraq
$43,316 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their elite Team Elo rating, depth led by Kylian Mbappé's sharp finishing in recent training camps, and Didier Deschamps' tactical mastery despite earlier setbacks like Hugo Ekitiké's April Achilles injury. Norway sits at 21.5% as the chief challenger, bolstered by Erling Haaland's qualifying dominance and Martin Ødegaard's creative spark, though his spring injury concerns tempered enthusiasm before recent squad confirmations. Senegal's 8.5% reflects Kalidou Koulibaly's defensive steel amid a thigh scare recovery, while Iraq languishes at 1.1% despite FIFA's approval of two new players this week and an upcoming Spain training camp, underscoring their underdog status in this stacked group. Trader consensus prioritizes France's form and matchup edges with the June 16 opener against Senegal looming.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$135,087Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their elite Team Elo rating, depth led by Kylian Mbappé's sharp finishing in recent training camps, and Didier Deschamps' tactical mastery despite earlier setbacks like Hugo Ekitiké's April Achilles injury. Norway sits at 21.5% as the chief challenger, bolstered by Erling Haaland's qualifying dominance and Martin Ødegaard's creative spark, though his spring injury concerns tempered enthusiasm before recent squad confirmations. Senegal's 8.5% reflects Kalidou Koulibaly's defensive steel amid a thigh scare recovery, while Iraq languishes at 1.1% despite FIFA's approval of two new players this week and an upcoming Spain training camp, underscoring their underdog status in this stacked group. Trader consensus prioritizes France's form and matchup edges with the June 16 opener against Senegal looming.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$135,087Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their elite Team Elo rating, depth led by Kylian Mbappé's sharp finishing in recent training camps, and Didier Deschamps' tactical mastery despite earlier setbacks like Hugo Ekitiké's April Achilles injury. Norway sits at 21.5% as the chief challenger, bolstered by Erling Haaland's qualifying dominance and Martin Ødegaard's creative spark, though his spring injury concerns tempered enthusiasm before recent squad confirmations. Senegal's 8.5% reflects Kalidou Koulibaly's defensive steel amid a thigh scare recovery, while Iraq languishes at 1.1% despite FIFA's approval of two new players this week and an upcoming Spain training camp, underscoring their underdog status in this stacked group. Trader consensus prioritizes France's form and matchup edges with the June 16 opener against Senegal looming.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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