**Flu activity has declined to minimal levels by early summer 2026, locking in a cumulative hospitalization rate near 87–88 per 100,000 population through Week 22.** CDC FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates at just 0.1 per 100,000 in recent weeks, with total reported hospitalizations reaching 30,486 by June 6 and only modest further additions expected. This places the final cumulative figure for Week 23 squarely in the 85–90 band, aligning with the market-implied 98.7% probability. Seasonal influenza transmission typically drops sharply after May, and current surveillance confirms low virologic positivity and stable or slightly rising but negligible hospital admissions. Historical patterns support little change in cumulative rates once weekly incidence falls below 0.5 per 100,000. The primary risk to this consensus stems from late data revisions or an atypical summer uptick, though both remain low-probability given ongoing monitoring and the season’s trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
100+ <1%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 19, 2026
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 98.6%
100+ <1%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 19, 2026
<80
$332 KL.
<1%
80–85
$337 KL.
<1%
85–90
$2,864 KL.
99%
90–95
$83 KL.
<1%
95–100
$185 KL.
1%
100+
$395 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity has declined to minimal levels by early summer 2026, locking in a cumulative hospitalization rate near 87–88 per 100,000 population through Week 22.** CDC FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates at just 0.1 per 100,000 in recent weeks, with total reported hospitalizations reaching 30,486 by June 6 and only modest further additions expected. This places the final cumulative figure for Week 23 squarely in the 85–90 band, aligning with the market-implied 98.7% probability.
Seasonal influenza transmission typically drops sharply after May, and current surveillance confirms low virologic positivity and stable or slightly rising but negligible hospital admissions. Historical patterns support little change in cumulative rates once weekly incidence falls below 0.5 per 100,000.
The primary risk to this consensus stems from late data revisions or an atypical summer uptick, though both remain low-probability given ongoing monitoring and the season’s trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,197Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity has declined to minimal levels by early summer 2026, locking in a cumulative hospitalization rate near 87–88 per 100,000 population through Week 22.** CDC FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates at just 0.1 per 100,000 in recent weeks, with total reported hospitalizations reaching 30,486 by June 6 and only modest further additions expected. This places the final cumulative figure for Week 23 squarely in the 85–90 band, aligning with the market-implied 98.7% probability.
Seasonal influenza transmission typically drops sharply after May, and current surveillance confirms low virologic positivity and stable or slightly rising but negligible hospital admissions. Historical patterns support little change in cumulative rates once weekly incidence falls below 0.5 per 100,000.
The primary risk to this consensus stems from late data revisions or an atypical summer uptick, though both remain low-probability given ongoing monitoring and the season’s trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Khối lượng
$4,197Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flu activity has declined to minimal levels by early summer 2026, locking in a cumulative hospitalization rate near 87–88 per 100,000 population through Week 22.** CDC FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates at just 0.1 per 100,000 in recent weeks, with total reported hospitalizations reaching 30,486 by June 6 and only modest further additions expected. This places the final cumulative figure for Week 23 squarely in the 85–90 band, aligning with the market-implied 98.7% probability. Seasonal influenza transmission typically drops sharply after May, and current surveillance confirms low virologic positivity and stable or slightly rising but negligible hospital admissions. Historical patterns support little change in cumulative rates once weekly incidence falls below 0.5 per 100,000. The primary risk to this consensus stems from late data revisions or an atypical summer uptick, though both remain low-probability given ongoing monitoring and the season’s trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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