Forecast models, including outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, currently converge on a 24°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 30, aligning with the 41% market-implied probability. This reflects a moderating air mass after warmer late-June conditions, with easterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Nearby 23°C and 25°C contracts trade at 31.5% and 22.4% respectively due to typical single-degree uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer mixing and minor model spread on timing of any onshore breeze. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide baseline context, while official KNMI and ECMWF guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 30?
24°C 32%
23°C 30%
22°C 14%
25°C 9.5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
30%
24°C
32%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 30%
22°C 14%
25°C 9.5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
30%
24°C
32%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models, including outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, currently converge on a 24°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 30, aligning with the 41% market-implied probability. This reflects a moderating air mass after warmer late-June conditions, with easterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Nearby 23°C and 25°C contracts trade at 31.5% and 22.4% respectively due to typical single-degree uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer mixing and minor model spread on timing of any onshore breeze. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide baseline context, while official KNMI and ECMWF guidance released in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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