A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on June 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 30?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
27%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
28°C or below
$351 KL.
1%
29°C
$45 KL.
1%
30°C
$5 KL.
3%
31°C
$36 KL.
6%
32°C
$94 KL.
27%
33°C
$29 KL.
29%
34°C
$12 KL.
28%
35°C
$474 KL.
13%
36°C
$29 KL.
4%
37°C
$33 KL.
1%
38°C or higher
$455 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,555Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,555Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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