Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on June 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 29?
35°C or below 69%
36°C 15%
37°C 8%
38°C 4.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 29, 2026
35°C or below
69%
36°C
15%
37°C
8%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
35°C or below 69%
36°C 15%
37°C 8%
38°C 4.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 29, 2026
35°C or below
$122 KL.
69%
36°C
$13 KL.
15%
37°C
$2 KL.
8%
38°C
$10 KL.
5%
39°C
$85 KL.
1%
40°C
$60 KL.
<1%
41°C
$235 KL.
<1%
42°C
$139 KL.
<1%
43°C
$139 KL.
<1%
44°C
$139 KL.
<1%
45°C or higher
$111 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,056Ngày kết thúc
Jun 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,056Ngày kết thúc
Jun 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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