Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 29?
23°C 37%
28°C or higher 31%
24°C 23%
21°C 19%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
31%
23°C 37%
28°C or higher 31%
24°C 23%
21°C 19%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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