Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,300 KL.
$241,300 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,300 KL.
$241,300 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
27°C or below
$2,732 KL.
<1%
28°C
$6,326 KL.
<1%
29°C
$28,295 KL.
<1%
30°C
$35,513 KL.
<1%
31°C
$56,738 KL.
100%
32°C
$41,218 KL.
<1%
33°C
$51,151 KL.
<1%
34°C
$12,212 KL.
<1%
35°C
$3,878 KL.
<1%
36°C
$1,913 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,323 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$241,300Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$241,300Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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